Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 11.076571 12.759460 14.557891 16.616751 18.902306 21.355484 24.181315
2025-07-13 9.250542 11.509717 14.068714 17.161151 20.775134 24.842919 29.744524
2025-07-20 7.909536 10.508348 13.599320 17.503616 22.257506 27.810593 34.736687
2025-07-27 6.757217 9.530902 12.978069 17.505390 23.216735 30.101504 38.939198
2025-08-03 5.584251 8.354413 11.947503 16.845155 23.232103 31.157719 41.600898
2025-08-10 4.794193 7.571572 11.316582 16.593310 23.677763 32.691957 44.837452
2025-08-17 4.103436 6.834318 10.657884 16.218242 23.890292 33.881511 47.621581
2025-08-24 3.582542 6.275141 10.180556 16.027960 24.299165 35.297917 50.701391
2025-08-31 3.090193 5.697169 9.614956 15.652594 24.402753 36.275370 53.194737
2025-09-07 2.784455 5.373982 9.389600 15.735622 25.126986 38.090465 56.838263
2025-09-14 2.476696 5.009826 9.065149 15.637400 25.566965 39.506337 59.956339
2025-09-21 2.270510 4.792839 8.948212 15.834867 26.430276 41.524224 63.943973
2025-09-28 2.079162 4.582804 8.827739 16.020580 27.286375 43.566397 68.039460
2025-10-05 1.958710 4.487477 8.885686 16.484449 28.571852 46.255632 73.113224
2025-10-12 1.821923 4.344946 8.849708 16.787950 29.614264 48.612031 77.761927
2025-10-19 1.648946 4.110733 8.634136 16.777644 30.158088 50.238793 81.385981
2025-10-26 1.403760 3.698059 8.065256 16.134567 29.663004 50.286469 82.688819
2025-11-02 1.241211 3.435398 7.744535 15.889169 29.783522 51.250927 85.349621
2025-11-09 1.082936 3.159077 7.372534 15.526038 29.686509 51.866607 87.489721
2025-11-16 0.962598 2.951089 7.112436 15.341916 29.869788 52.909608 90.284978
2025-11-23 0.837454 2.711989 6.768201 14.979337 29.729314 53.430477 92.284691
2025-11-30 0.767417 2.598234 6.667594 15.059429 30.341734 55.151392 96.156223
2025-12-07 0.688807 2.450034 6.481666 14.964573 30.641968 56.373781 99.274115